Aguadilla

๐Ÿ“ PRยทPop. 102,766ยท48,300 employedยทRanked #5 of 393 metros
86

Very High Risk

AI Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

86/100

#5 of 393 ยท +16 vs avg

Workers Vulnerable

๐ŸŽฏ

16,740

34.7% of workforce

Average Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$32K

$-27K vs national

Tech Employment

๐Ÿ’ป

1.0%

National avg: 2.0%

Service Employment

๐Ÿช

36.6%

National avg: 31.3%

WARN Notices (2025)

๐Ÿ“‹

0

Layoff filings

๐Ÿ’ก Aguadilla has an AI risk score of 86/100 with 34.7% of workers in vulnerable roles โ€” led by Retail. Average wages of $32K are below the national metro average. Compare metros โ†’

AI Risk Analysis

The Aguadilla metropolitan area receives an AI displacement risk score of 86 out of 100, placing it at rank #5 among 393 US metros. This is 16 points above the national metro average of 70, indicating significantly elevated vulnerability to AI-driven job displacement. An estimated 16,740 workers โ€” 34.7% of the workforce โ€” hold positions in occupations highly susceptible to automation. This vulnerability rate exceeds the national average of 29.5% by 5.2 percentage points.

The primary driver of risk in Aguadilla is the concentration of employment in Retail, an industry where routine tasks, data processing, and customer interactions are increasingly being handled by AI systems. Among the most at-risk occupations in the area are Retail Salespersons, Cashiers, Office Clerks, General, and Fast Food and Counter Workers โ€” roles where advances in natural language processing, computer vision, and robotic process automation are already reducing demand. The metro's heavy service sector concentration (36.6% vs 31.3% nationally) amplifies vulnerability, as customer-facing and back-office roles are prime targets for AI automation.

Below-average wages ($32K vs $60K nationally) may slow automation adoption due to lower ROI on AI investment, but also leave workers with fewer resources for career transitions. Workers in this metro should consider developing complementary AI skills, exploring transition paths to lower-risk occupations, and leveraging local workforce development resources.

Automation Vulnerability

16,740

workers at risk (34.7%)

0%34.7%33%+

Top At-Risk Occupations

* Estimated local employment based on metro's share of national workforce. Actual distribution may vary.

Industry Breakdown

Top at-risk industry: Retail

Tech Sector1.0%

National avg: 2.0%

Service Sector36.6%

National avg: 31.3% โš ๏ธ High concentration โ€” elevated AI risk

โš ๏ธ Retail Trade โ€” Highest Risk Industry

National risk score: 56/100 ยท 26,703,360 employed nationally ยท Projected -2.1% job decline ยท Advanced AI adoption stage

Comparison to National Average

Risk Score

+16

vs 70 national avg

Average Wage

$-27K

vs $60K national avg

Vulnerable Workers

+5.2%

vs 29.5% national avg

National Economic Context

Latest national labor market indicators from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)

Unemployment Rate

4.4%

2026-02

Labor Participation

62%

2026-02

Weekly UI Claims

214,000,000

2026-02

Job Openings

6.9M

2026-01

๐Ÿ“Š Methodology

Metro area AI risk scores are calculated using a composite model that weighs multiple factors: occupational automation probability (based on Frey & Osborne methodology and updated GenAI exposure scores), industry concentration risk, local employment mix, wage levels, and historical WARN Act layoff notices.

Scores range from 0 (lowest risk) to 100 (highest risk) and represent relative vulnerability compared to other US metro areas. Individual occupation risk scores within the metro are estimated by applying the metro's employment share to national occupation-level data. Data sources include BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, Census Bureau population estimates, and state WARN Act filings.