Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom

๐Ÿ“ CaliforniaยทPop. 2,268,915ยท1,066,390 employedยทRanked #363 of 393 metros
62

High Risk

AI Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

62/100

#363 of 393 ยท -8 vs avg

Workers Vulnerable

๐ŸŽฏ

292,570

27.4% of workforce

Average Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$76K

+$16K vs national

Tech Employment

๐Ÿ’ป

3.5%

National avg: 2.0%

Service Employment

๐Ÿช

29.1%

National avg: 31.3%

WARN Notices (2025)

๐Ÿ“‹

0

Layoff filings

๐Ÿ’ก Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom has an AI risk score of 62/100 with 27.4% of workers in vulnerable roles โ€” led by Food Service & Hospitality. Average wages of $76K are above the national metro average. See California overview โ†’

AI Risk Analysis

The Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom metropolitan area receives an AI displacement risk score of 62 out of 100, placing it at rank #363 among 393 US metros. This is close to the national metro average of 70, placing the area in the middle of the risk spectrum. An estimated 292,570 workers โ€” 27.4% of the workforce โ€” hold positions in occupations highly susceptible to automation.

The primary driver of risk in Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom is the concentration of employment in Food Service & Hospitality, an industry where routine tasks, data processing, and customer interactions are increasingly being handled by AI systems. Among the most at-risk occupations in the area are Office Clerks, General, Fast Food and Counter Workers, Cashiers, and Retail Salespersons โ€” roles where advances in natural language processing, computer vision, and robotic process automation are already reducing demand.

Higher-than-average wages ($76K vs $60K nationally) may provide workers more resources to invest in reskilling, but also create stronger economic incentives for employers to automate. Workers in this metro should consider developing complementary AI skills, exploring transition paths to lower-risk occupations, and leveraging local workforce development resources.

Automation Vulnerability

292,570

workers at risk (27.4%)

0%27.4%33%+

Top At-Risk Occupations

* Estimated local employment based on metro's share of national workforce. Actual distribution may vary.

Industry Breakdown

Top at-risk industry: Food Service & Hospitality

Tech Sector3.5%

National avg: 2.0%

Service Sector29.1%

National avg: 31.3%

Comparison to National Average

Risk Score

-8

vs 70 national avg

Average Wage

+$16K

vs $60K national avg

Vulnerable Workers

-2.1%

vs 29.5% national avg

National Economic Context

Latest national labor market indicators from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)

Unemployment Rate

4.4%

2026-02

Labor Participation

62%

2026-02

Weekly UI Claims

214,000,000

2026-02

Job Openings

6.9M

2026-01

๐Ÿ“Š Methodology

Metro area AI risk scores are calculated using a composite model that weighs multiple factors: occupational automation probability (based on Frey & Osborne methodology and updated GenAI exposure scores), industry concentration risk, local employment mix, wage levels, and historical WARN Act layoff notices.

Scores range from 0 (lowest risk) to 100 (highest risk) and represent relative vulnerability compared to other US metro areas. Individual occupation risk scores within the metro are estimated by applying the metro's employment share to national occupation-level data. Data sources include BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, Census Bureau population estimates, and state WARN Act filings.