Salem

๐Ÿ“ OregonยทPop. 396,468ยท186,340 employedยทRanked #314 of 393 metros
66

High Risk

AI Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

66/100

#314 of 393 ยท -4 vs avg

Workers Vulnerable

๐ŸŽฏ

54,600

29.3% of workforce

Average Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$66K

+$6K vs national

Tech Employment

๐Ÿ’ป

2.6%

National avg: 2.0%

Service Employment

๐Ÿช

30.4%

National avg: 31.3%

WARN Notices (2025)

๐Ÿ“‹

0

Layoff filings

๐Ÿ’ก Salem has an AI risk score of 66/100 with 29.3% of workers in vulnerable roles โ€” led by Food Service & Hospitality. Average wages of $66K are above the national metro average. See Oregon overview โ†’

AI Risk Analysis

The Salem metropolitan area receives an AI displacement risk score of 66 out of 100, placing it at rank #314 among 393 US metros. This is close to the national metro average of 70, placing the area in the middle of the risk spectrum. An estimated 54,600 workers โ€” 29.3% of the workforce โ€” hold positions in occupations highly susceptible to automation.

The primary driver of risk in Salem is the concentration of employment in Food Service & Hospitality, an industry where routine tasks, data processing, and customer interactions are increasingly being handled by AI systems. Among the most at-risk occupations in the area are Fast Food and Counter Workers, Retail Salespersons, Cashiers, and Office Clerks, General โ€” roles where advances in natural language processing, computer vision, and robotic process automation are already reducing demand.

Higher-than-average wages ($66K vs $60K nationally) may provide workers more resources to invest in reskilling, but also create stronger economic incentives for employers to automate. Workers in this metro should consider developing complementary AI skills, exploring transition paths to lower-risk occupations, and leveraging local workforce development resources.

Automation Vulnerability

54,600

workers at risk (29.3%)

0%29.3%33%+

Top At-Risk Occupations

* Estimated local employment based on metro's share of national workforce. Actual distribution may vary.

Industry Breakdown

Top at-risk industry: Food Service & Hospitality

Tech Sector2.6%

National avg: 2.0%

Service Sector30.4%

National avg: 31.3%

Comparison to National Average

Risk Score

-4

vs 70 national avg

Average Wage

+$6K

vs $60K national avg

Vulnerable Workers

-0.2%

vs 29.5% national avg

National Economic Context

Latest national labor market indicators from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)

Unemployment Rate

4.4%

2026-02

Labor Participation

62%

2026-02

Weekly UI Claims

214,000,000

2026-02

Job Openings

6.9M

2026-01

๐Ÿ“Š Methodology

Metro area AI risk scores are calculated using a composite model that weighs multiple factors: occupational automation probability (based on Frey & Osborne methodology and updated GenAI exposure scores), industry concentration risk, local employment mix, wage levels, and historical WARN Act layoff notices.

Scores range from 0 (lowest risk) to 100 (highest risk) and represent relative vulnerability compared to other US metro areas. Individual occupation risk scores within the metro are estimated by applying the metro's employment share to national occupation-level data. Data sources include BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, Census Bureau population estimates, and state WARN Act filings.