32
/100

SOC 15-2011

Actuaries

ModerateFrey/Osborne: 21.0%

Risk Score

⚠️

32/100

Moderate

US Employment

👥

28,340

Total workers

Median Wage

💰

$126K

$75K – $206K

Projected Growth

📈

+21.8%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

🤖

88/100

High exposure

How we calculate these numbers →

💡 Actuaries face a risk score of 32/100 — 12 points below the national average of 44. With 88/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology →

💡 Workers in this field earn $126K ($79K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →

🔍 AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 32/100, Actuaries faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like large language model automation of analysis tasks are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 28,340 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in cross-functional collaboration on ambiguous problems and architecting novel systems requiring creative problem-solving to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Actuaries?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1

Large language model automation of analysis tasks

2

AI pair-programming and code generation tools

3

Low-code / no-code platforms reducing custom development

🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation

Cross-functional collaboration on ambiguous problems

Architecting novel systems requiring creative problem-solving

Stakeholder negotiation and requirements elicitation

Ethical AI oversight and bias auditing

📊 vs National Average

Median Wage$126K
+$79K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score32/100
-12

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure88/100
+50

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth21.8%
+18.1%

National avg: 3.7%

🔄 Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers16$145K57%
Mathematicians24$122K81%
Computer and Information Research Scientists30$141K79%