SOC 53-3051
Bus Drivers, School
Risk Score
⚠️62/100
High Risk
US Employment
👥387,920
Total workers
Median Wage
💰$47K
$28K – $64K
Projected Growth
📈+0.2%
2023-2033 (BLS)
GenAI Exposure
🤖48/100
Moderate exposure
💡 Bus Drivers, School face a risk score of 62/100 — 18 points above the national average of 44. With only 48/100 GenAI exposure, most core tasks remain resistant to current AI capabilities. See our methodology →
💡 Workers in this field earn $47K ($730 above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →
🔍 AI Impact Analysis
With a risk score of 62/100, Bus Drivers, School faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like predictive maintenance reducing manual inspection needs are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 387,920 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in emergency situation response and quick decision-making and navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.
Will AI Replace Bus Drivers, School?
Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →
⚠️ Top Risk Factors
Predictive maintenance reducing manual inspection needs
Automated warehouse sorting and loading systems
AI traffic management and fleet coordination
AI route optimization reducing dispatcher roles
🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation
Emergency situation response and quick decision-making
Navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions
Manual loading of irregular and fragile cargo
📊 vs National Average
National avg: $46K
National avg: 44/100
National avg: 38/100
National avg: 3.7%
🔄 Career Transition Paths
| Occupation | Risk | Wage | Overlap |
|---|---|---|---|
| First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors | 25 | $62K | 74% |
| Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors | 29 | $64K | 81% |
| Air Transportation Workers | 31 | $107K | 77% |