53
/100

SOC 37-1012

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers

ElevatedFrey/Osborne: 57.0%

Risk Score

⚠️

53/100

Elevated

US Employment

👥

124,130

Total workers

Median Wage

💰

$56K

$39K – $83K

Projected Growth

📈

+2.3%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

🤖

70/100

High exposure

How we calculate these numbers →

💡 First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers face a risk score of 53/100 — 9 points above the national average of 44. With 70/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology →

💡 Workers in this field earn $56K ($10K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →

🔍 AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 53/100, First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like remote monitoring reducing on-site maintenance staff are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 124,130 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in hands-on troubleshooting of building systems and responding to unpredictable facility emergencies to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1

Remote monitoring reducing on-site maintenance staff

2

AI-driven building management and energy optimization

3

AI-powered research and literature review tools

4

AI summarization replacing manual report compilation

🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation

Hands-on troubleshooting of building systems

Responding to unpredictable facility emergencies

Physical work in diverse and unstructured environments

Tenant and occupant relationship management

📊 vs National Average

Median Wage$56K
+$10K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score53/100
+9

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure70/100
+32

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth2.3%
-1.4%

National avg: 3.7%

🔄 Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors25$62K61%
Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers28$93K55%
Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors29$64K53%