SOC 51-1011
First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
Risk Score
⚠️40/100
Moderate
US Employment
👥685,140
Total workers
Median Wage
💰$71K
$46K – $107K
Projected Growth
📈+1.2%
2023-2033 (BLS)
GenAI Exposure
🤖76/100
High exposure
💡 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers face a risk score of 40/100 — 4 points below the national average of 44. With 76/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology →
💡 Workers in this field earn $71K ($25K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →
🔍 AI Impact Analysis
With a risk score of 40/100, First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like automated cnc programming and machine operation are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 685,140 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in handling non-standard materials and configurations and coordinating workflow across diverse production teams to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.
Will AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers?
Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →
⚠️ Top Risk Factors
Automated CNC programming and machine operation
Automated data interpretation and insight generation
AI quality inspection via computer vision systems
🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation
Handling non-standard materials and configurations
Coordinating workflow across diverse production teams
Setup and calibration of custom production runs
Quality judgment requiring tactile and visual inspection
📊 vs National Average
National avg: $46K
National avg: 44/100
National avg: 38/100
National avg: 3.7%
🔄 Career Transition Paths
| Occupation | Risk | Wage | Overlap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Engineers | 20 | $106K | 65% |
| Supervisors of Production Workers | 34 | $71K | 72% |
| Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers | 28 | $93K | 69% |