32
/100

SOC 17-2141

Mechanical Engineers

ModerateFrey/Osborne: 1.1%

Risk Score

⚠️

32/100

Moderate

US Employment

👥

286,760

Total workers

Median Wage

💰

$102K

$69K – $161K

Projected Growth

📈

+9.1%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

🤖

67/100

High exposure

How we calculate these numbers →

💡 Mechanical Engineers face a risk score of 32/100 — 12 points below the national average of 44. With 67/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology →

💡 Workers in this field earn $102K ($56K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →

🔍 AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 32/100, Mechanical Engineers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like simulation and digital twin automation are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 286,760 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in on-site problem-solving in variable physical conditions and novel engineering design for unprecedented challenges to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Mechanical Engineers?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1

Simulation and digital twin automation

2

AI-optimized manufacturing process design

3

Automated data interpretation and insight generation

🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation

On-site problem-solving in variable physical conditions

Novel engineering design for unprecedented challenges

Safety-critical judgment in design review

Cross-disciplinary collaboration on complex projects

📊 vs National Average

Median Wage$102K
+$56K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score32/100
-12

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure67/100
+29

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth9.1%
+5.4%

National avg: 3.7%

🔄 Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
Engineers20$106K84%
Electronics Engineers, Except Computer29$128K81%
Chemical Engineers30$122K79%