36
/100

SOC 53-3000

Motor Vehicle Operators

ModerateFrey/Osborne: 40.0%

Risk Score

⚠️

36/100

Moderate

US Employment

👥

4,328,760

Total workers

Median Wage

💰

$49K

$31K – $76K

Projected Growth

📈

+5.3%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

🤖

35/100

Moderate exposure

How we calculate these numbers →

💡 Motor Vehicle Operators face a risk score of 36/100 — 8 points below the national average of 44. With only 35/100 GenAI exposure, most core tasks remain resistant to current AI capabilities. See our methodology →

💡 Workers in this field earn $49K ($2K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →

🔍 AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 36/100, Motor Vehicle Operators faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 4,328,760 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in navigating complex urban environments with obstacles and customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Motor Vehicle Operators?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1

Autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology

2

Automated warehouse sorting and loading systems

3

Predictive maintenance reducing manual inspection needs

🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation

Navigating complex urban environments with obstacles

Customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery

Emergency situation response and quick decision-making

Manual loading of irregular and fragile cargo

📊 vs National Average

Median Wage$49K
+$2K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score36/100
-8

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure35/100
-3

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth5.3%
+1.6%

National avg: 3.7%

🔄 Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors25$62K82%
Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors29$64K74%
Air Transportation Workers31$107K70%