34
/100

SOC 53-4000

Rail Transportation Workers

ModerateFrey/Osborne: 40.0%

Risk Score

⚠️

34/100

Moderate

US Employment

👥

101,190

Total workers

Median Wage

💰

$76K

$51K – $98K

Projected Growth

📈

+1.2%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

🤖

35/100

Moderate exposure

How we calculate these numbers →

💡 Rail Transportation Workers face a risk score of 34/100 — 10 points below the national average of 44. With only 35/100 GenAI exposure, most core tasks remain resistant to current AI capabilities. See our methodology →

💡 Workers in this field earn $76K ($30K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →

🔍 AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 34/100, Rail Transportation Workers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 101,190 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in navigating complex urban environments with obstacles and emergency situation response and quick decision-making to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Rail Transportation Workers?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1

Autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology

2

AI route optimization reducing dispatcher roles

3

AI traffic management and fleet coordination

🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation

Navigating complex urban environments with obstacles

Emergency situation response and quick decision-making

Manual loading of irregular and fragile cargo

Customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery

📊 vs National Average

Median Wage$76K
+$30K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score34/100
-10

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure35/100
-3

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth1.2%
-2.5%

National avg: 3.7%

🔄 Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors25$62K83%
Air Transportation Workers31$107K81%
Ship Engineers33$101K77%