Rankings β†’ Will AI Replace…

Will AI Replace Air Traffic Controllers?

40/100 β€” Moderate
SOC 53-2021

πŸ’‘ Air Traffic Controllers have a composite risk score of 40/100 (Frey-Osborne probability: 11%, GenAI exposure: 95/100). With 22,400 workers in the US, this occupation faces moderate but manageable AI pressure. Full occupation profile β†’

🎯 The Verdict

Partially. Some tasks will be automated, but the core role will likely adapt and evolve.

With 22,400 workers and a median wage of $145K,air traffic controllers represent a significant portion of the US workforce. Their GenAI exposure index is 95%, meaning a majority of their core tasks overlap with current generative AI capabilities.

Risk Score

40/100

Employment

22,400

Median Wage

$145K

GenAI Exposure

95%

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1.

Autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology

2.

AI-generated written content replacing manual drafting

3.

AI route optimization reducing dispatcher roles

πŸ›‘οΈ Tasks AI Can't Easily Replace

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Navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions

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Emergency situation response and quick decision-making

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Navigating complex urban environments with obstacles

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Customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery

πŸ”„ Career Transition Paths

Related occupations with lower AI risk and high skills overlap:

First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors

70% skills overlap Β· $62K median wage

25/100

Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers

81% skills overlap Β· $227K median wage

37/100

Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians

79% skills overlap Β· $34K median wage

28/100

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI completely replace air traffic controllers?

Partially. Some tasks will be automated, but the core role will likely adapt and evolve.

What is the AI risk score for air traffic controllers?

Air Traffic Controllers have a composite AI automation risk score of 40 out of 100, classified as "Moderate".

How many air traffic controllers are there in the US?

There are approximately 22,400 air traffic controllers employed in the United States.

What do air traffic controllers earn?

The median annual wage for air traffic controllers is $145K.

What skills should air traffic controllers develop?

Focus on tasks AI can't easily replicate: navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions, emergency situation response and quick decision-making, navigating complex urban environments with obstacles, customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery. These human-centric skills will become more valuable as routine tasks are automated.