Rankings β†’ Will AI Replace…

Will AI Replace Commercial Divers?

37/100 β€” Moderate
SOC 49-9092

πŸ’‘ Commercial Divers have a composite risk score of 37/100 (Frey-Osborne probability: 18%, GenAI exposure: 36/100). With 3,430 workers in the US, this occupation faces moderate but manageable AI pressure. Full occupation profile β†’

🎯 The Verdict

Partially. Some tasks will be automated, but the core role will likely adapt and evolve.

With 3,430 workers and a median wage of $61K,commercial divers represent a significant portion of the US workforce. Their GenAI exposure index is 36%, meaning a minority of their core tasks overlap with current generative AI capabilities.

Risk Score

37/100

Employment

3,430

Median Wage

$61K

GenAI Exposure

36%

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1.

Predictive maintenance AI reducing reactive repair needs

2.

Augmented reality-guided remote diagnostics

3.

AI parts inventory and supply chain optimization

πŸ›‘οΈ Tasks AI Can't Easily Replace

βœ“

Diagnosing novel equipment failures through physical inspection

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Working in confined, elevated, or hazardous spaces

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Customer communication about technical issues

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Hands-on fine motor work in intricate machinery

πŸ”„ Career Transition Paths

Related occupations with lower AI risk and high skills overlap:

Engineers

59% skills overlap Β· $106K median wage

20/100

Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers

78% skills overlap Β· $93K median wage

28/100

Supervisors of Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers

83% skills overlap Β· $78K median wage

33/100

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI completely replace commercial divers?

Partially. Some tasks will be automated, but the core role will likely adapt and evolve.

What is the AI risk score for commercial divers?

Commercial Divers have a composite AI automation risk score of 37 out of 100, classified as "Moderate".

How many commercial divers are there in the US?

There are approximately 3,430 commercial divers employed in the United States.

What do commercial divers earn?

The median annual wage for commercial divers is $61K.

What skills should commercial divers develop?

Focus on tasks AI can't easily replicate: diagnosing novel equipment failures through physical inspection, working in confined, elevated, or hazardous spaces, customer communication about technical issues, hands-on fine motor work in intricate machinery. These human-centric skills will become more valuable as routine tasks are automated.