Rankings β†’ Will AI Replace…

Will AI Replace Lawyers?

31/100 β€” Moderate
SOC 23-1011

πŸ’‘ Lawyers have a composite risk score of 31/100 (Frey-Osborne probability: 4%, GenAI exposure: 88/100). With 747,750 workers in the US, this occupation faces moderate but manageable AI pressure. Full occupation profile β†’

🎯 The Verdict

Partially. Some tasks will be automated, but the core role will likely adapt and evolve.

With 747,750 workers and a median wage of $151K,lawyers represent a significant portion of the US workforce. Their GenAI exposure index is 88%, meaning a majority of their core tasks overlap with current generative AI capabilities.

Risk Score

31/100

Employment

747,750

Median Wage

$151K

GenAI Exposure

88%

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1.

Legal research tools powered by large language models

2.

Large language model automation of analysis tasks

3.

AI summarization replacing manual report compilation

πŸ›‘οΈ Tasks AI Can't Easily Replace

βœ“

Courtroom advocacy and persuasive oral argument

βœ“

Negotiating settlements requiring empathy and persuasion

βœ“

Nuanced legal strategy in novel or precedent-setting cases

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Client counseling on sensitive and complex matters

πŸ”„ Career Transition Paths

Related occupations with lower AI risk and high skills overlap:

Lawyers, Judges, and Related Workers

78% skills overlap Β· $144K median wage

17/100

Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers

65% skills overlap Β· $145K median wage

16/100

Architectural and Engineering Managers

61% skills overlap Β· $168K median wage

23/100

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI completely replace lawyers?

Partially. Some tasks will be automated, but the core role will likely adapt and evolve.

What is the AI risk score for lawyers?

Lawyers have a composite AI automation risk score of 31 out of 100, classified as "Moderate".

How many lawyers are there in the US?

There are approximately 747,750 lawyers employed in the United States.

What do lawyers earn?

The median annual wage for lawyers is $151K.

What skills should lawyers develop?

Focus on tasks AI can't easily replicate: courtroom advocacy and persuasive oral argument, negotiating settlements requiring empathy and persuasion, nuanced legal strategy in novel or precedent-setting cases, client counseling on sensitive and complex matters. These human-centric skills will become more valuable as routine tasks are automated.