Rankings β†’ Will AI Replace…

Will AI Replace Tool and Die Makers?

66/100 β€” High Risk
SOC 51-4111

πŸ’‘ Tool and Die Makers have a composite risk score of 66/100 (Frey-Osborne probability: 84%, GenAI exposure: 42/100). With 55,130 workers in the US, this is one of the most AI-vulnerable occupations. Full occupation profile β†’

🎯 The Verdict

Likely for many tasks. The role will look very different in 5–10 years.

With 55,130 workers and a median wage of $63K,tool and die makers represent a significant portion of the US workforce. Their GenAI exposure index is 42%, meaning a minority of their core tasks overlap with current generative AI capabilities.

Risk Score

66/100

Employment

55,130

Median Wage

$63K

GenAI Exposure

42%

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1.

Predictive maintenance reducing manual inspection roles

2.

Cobots handling repetitive material handling tasks

3.

Automated CNC programming and machine operation

4.

AI quality inspection via computer vision systems

πŸ›‘οΈ Tasks AI Can't Easily Replace

βœ“

Troubleshooting complex equipment malfunctions

βœ“

Quality judgment requiring tactile and visual inspection

βœ“

Setup and calibration of custom production runs

πŸ”„ Career Transition Paths

Related occupations with lower AI risk and high skills overlap:

Engineers

57% skills overlap Β· $106K median wage

20/100

Fabric and Apparel Patternmakers

81% skills overlap Β· $68K median wage

33/100

Supervisors of Production Workers

79% skills overlap Β· $71K median wage

34/100

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI completely replace tool and die makers?

Likely for many tasks. The role will look very different in 5–10 years.

What is the AI risk score for tool and die makers?

Tool and Die Makers have a composite AI automation risk score of 66 out of 100, classified as "High Risk".

How many tool and die makers are there in the US?

There are approximately 55,130 tool and die makers employed in the United States.

What do tool and die makers earn?

The median annual wage for tool and die makers is $63K.

What skills should tool and die makers develop?

Focus on tasks AI can't easily replicate: troubleshooting complex equipment malfunctions, quality judgment requiring tactile and visual inspection, setup and calibration of custom production runs. These human-centric skills will become more valuable as routine tasks are automated.