Rankings β†’ Will AI Replace…

Will AI Replace Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials?

75/100 β€” High Risk
SOC 27-2023

πŸ’‘ Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials have a composite risk score of 75/100 (Frey-Osborne probability: 98%, GenAI exposure: 95/100). With 15,080 workers in the US, this is one of the most AI-vulnerable occupations. Full occupation profile β†’

🎯 The Verdict

Likely for many tasks. The role will look very different in 5–10 years.

With 15,080 workers and a median wage of $39K,umpires, referees, and other sports officials represent a significant portion of the US workforce. Their GenAI exposure index is 95%, meaning a majority of their core tasks overlap with current generative AI capabilities.

Risk Score

75/100

Employment

15,080

Median Wage

$39K

GenAI Exposure

95%

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1.

AI summarization replacing manual report compilation

2.

Chatbot displacement of customer-facing interactions

3.

Large language model automation of analysis tasks

4.

Automated data interpretation and insight generation

5.

AI coding assistants reducing developer demand

πŸ›‘οΈ Tasks AI Can't Easily Replace

βœ“

Collaborative creative ideation and brainstorming

βœ“

Cultural interpretation and contextual sensitivity

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Original creative vision and artistic direction

πŸ”„ Career Transition Paths

Related occupations with lower AI risk and high skills overlap:

Artists and Related Workers, All Other

74% skills overlap Β· $73K median wage

23/100

Fashion Designers

74% skills overlap Β· $81K median wage

23/100

Special Effects Artists and Animators

70% skills overlap Β· $100K median wage

25/100

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI completely replace umpires, referees, and other sports officials?

Likely for many tasks. The role will look very different in 5–10 years.

What is the AI risk score for umpires, referees, and other sports officials?

Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials have a composite AI automation risk score of 75 out of 100, classified as "High Risk".

How many umpires, referees, and other sports officials are there in the US?

There are approximately 15,080 umpires, referees, and other sports officials employed in the United States.

What do umpires, referees, and other sports officials earn?

The median annual wage for umpires, referees, and other sports officials is $39K.

What skills should umpires, referees, and other sports officials develop?

Focus on tasks AI can't easily replicate: collaborative creative ideation and brainstorming, cultural interpretation and contextual sensitivity, original creative vision and artistic direction. These human-centric skills will become more valuable as routine tasks are automated.