Johnson City

The Johnson City metropolitan area receives an AI displacement risk score of 75 out of 100, placing it at rank #46 among 393 US metros. This is 5 points above the national metro average of 70, reflecting moderately elevated risk. An estimated 26,510 workers — 32.4% of the workforce — hold positions in occupations highly susceptible to automation.

The primary driver of risk in Johnson City is the concentration of employment in Food Service & Hospitality, an industry where routine tasks, data processing, and customer interactions are increasingly being handled by AI systems. Among the most at-risk occupations in the area are Fast Food and Counter Workers, Customer Service Representatives, Retail Salespersons, and Cashiers — roles where advances in natural language processing, computer vision, and robotic process automation are already reducing demand. The metro's heavy service sector concentration (37.3% vs 31.3% nationally) amplifies vulnerability, as customer-facing and back-office roles are prime targets for AI automation.

Below-average wages ($53K vs $60K nationally) may slow automation adoption due to lower ROI on AI investment, but also leave workers with fewer resources for career transitions. Workers in this metro should consider developing complementary AI skills, exploring transition paths to lower-risk occupations, and leveraging local workforce development resources.