Springfield

๐Ÿ“ OhioยทPop. 100,638ยท47,300 employedยทRanked #105 of 393 metros
73

High Risk

AI Risk Score

โš ๏ธ

73/100

#105 of 393 ยท +3 vs avg

Workers Vulnerable

๐ŸŽฏ

13,220

27.9% of workforce

Average Wage

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$54K

$-5K vs national

Tech Employment

๐Ÿ’ป

1.0%

National avg: 2.0%

Service Employment

๐Ÿช

28.4%

National avg: 31.3%

WARN Notices (2025)

๐Ÿ“‹

0

Layoff filings

๐Ÿ’ก Springfield has an AI risk score of 73/100 with 27.9% of workers in vulnerable roles โ€” led by Food Service & Hospitality. Average wages of $54K are below the national metro average. See Ohio overview โ†’

AI Risk Analysis

The Springfield metropolitan area receives an AI displacement risk score of 73 out of 100, placing it at rank #105 among 393 US metros. This is 3 points above the national metro average of 70, reflecting moderately elevated risk. An estimated 13,220 workers โ€” 27.9% of the workforce โ€” hold positions in occupations highly susceptible to automation.

The primary driver of risk in Springfield is the concentration of employment in Food Service & Hospitality, an industry where routine tasks, data processing, and customer interactions are increasingly being handled by AI systems. Among the most at-risk occupations in the area are Fast Food and Counter Workers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, Cashiers, and Stockers and Order Fillers โ€” roles where advances in natural language processing, computer vision, and robotic process automation are already reducing demand.

Below-average wages ($54K vs $60K nationally) may slow automation adoption due to lower ROI on AI investment, but also leave workers with fewer resources for career transitions. Workers in this metro should consider developing complementary AI skills, exploring transition paths to lower-risk occupations, and leveraging local workforce development resources.

Automation Vulnerability

13,220

workers at risk (27.9%)

0%27.9%33%+

Top At-Risk Occupations

* Estimated local employment based on metro's share of national workforce. Actual distribution may vary.

Industry Breakdown

Top at-risk industry: Food Service & Hospitality

Tech Sector1.0%

National avg: 2.0%

Service Sector28.4%

National avg: 31.3%

Comparison to National Average

Risk Score

+3

vs 70 national avg

Average Wage

$-5K

vs $60K national avg

Vulnerable Workers

-1.6%

vs 29.5% national avg

National Economic Context

Latest national labor market indicators from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)

Unemployment Rate

4.4%

2026-02

Labor Participation

62%

2026-02

Weekly UI Claims

214,000,000

2026-02

Job Openings

6.9M

2026-01

๐Ÿ“Š Methodology

Metro area AI risk scores are calculated using a composite model that weighs multiple factors: occupational automation probability (based on Frey & Osborne methodology and updated GenAI exposure scores), industry concentration risk, local employment mix, wage levels, and historical WARN Act layoff notices.

Scores range from 0 (lowest risk) to 100 (highest risk) and represent relative vulnerability compared to other US metro areas. Individual occupation risk scores within the metro are estimated by applying the metro's employment share to national occupation-level data. Data sources include BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, Census Bureau population estimates, and state WARN Act filings.