SOC 53-3052
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
Risk Score
⚠️57/100
Elevated
US Employment
👥148,980
Total workers
Median Wage
💰$57K
$38K – $83K
Projected Growth
📈+4.3%
2023-2033 (BLS)
GenAI Exposure
🤖59/100
Moderate exposure
💡 Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity face a risk score of 57/100 — 13 points above the national average of 44. With 59/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology →
💡 Workers in this field earn $57K ($11K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →
🔍 AI Impact Analysis
With a risk score of 57/100, Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 148,980 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery and navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.
Will AI Replace Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity?
Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →
⚠️ Top Risk Factors
Autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology
AI route optimization reducing dispatcher roles
Predictive maintenance reducing manual inspection needs
Automated warehouse sorting and loading systems
🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation
Customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery
Navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions
Emergency situation response and quick decision-making
Manual loading of irregular and fragile cargo
📊 vs National Average
National avg: $46K
National avg: 44/100
National avg: 38/100
National avg: 3.7%
🔄 Career Transition Paths
| Occupation | Risk | Wage | Overlap |
|---|---|---|---|
| First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors | 25 | $62K | 79% |
| Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors | 29 | $64K | 71% |
| Air Transportation Workers | 31 | $107K | 82% |