SOC 53-3032
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Risk Score
⚠️58/100
Elevated
US Employment
👥2,070,480
Total workers
Median Wage
💰$57K
$39K – $79K
Projected Growth
📈+4%
2023-2033 (BLS)
GenAI Exposure
🤖48/100
Moderate exposure
💡 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers face a risk score of 58/100 — 14 points above the national average of 44. With only 48/100 GenAI exposure, most core tasks remain resistant to current AI capabilities. See our methodology →
💡 Workers in this field earn $57K ($11K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →
🔍 AI Impact Analysis
With a risk score of 58/100, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 2,070,480 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery and emergency situation response and quick decision-making to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.
Will AI Replace Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers?
Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →
⚠️ Top Risk Factors
Autonomous vehicle and self-driving truck technology
AI traffic management and fleet coordination
AI route optimization reducing dispatcher roles
Predictive maintenance reducing manual inspection needs
🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation
Customer interaction and conflict resolution during delivery
Emergency situation response and quick decision-making
Navigating complex urban environments with obstacles
Navigating unpredictable road and weather conditions
📊 vs National Average
National avg: $46K
National avg: 44/100
National avg: 38/100
National avg: 3.7%
🔄 Career Transition Paths
| Occupation | Risk | Wage | Overlap |
|---|---|---|---|
| First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors | 25 | $62K | 81% |
| Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors | 29 | $64K | 73% |
| Air Transportation Workers | 31 | $107K | 84% |