53
/100

SOC 15-1251

Computer Programmers

ElevatedFrey/Osborne: 48.0%

Risk Score

⚠️

53/100

Elevated

US Employment

👥

109,870

Total workers

Median Wage

💰

$99K

$52K – $162K

Projected Growth

📈

-6%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

🤖

72/100

High exposure

How we calculate these numbers →

💡 Computer Programmers face a risk score of 53/100 — 9 points above the national average of 44. With 72/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite weak projected growth. See our methodology →

💡 Workers in this field earn $99K ($52K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →

🔍 AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 53/100, Computer Programmers faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like automated testing and ci/cd pipeline intelligence are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 109,870 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in stakeholder negotiation and requirements elicitation and ethical ai oversight and bias auditing to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Computer Programmers?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1

Automated testing and CI/CD pipeline intelligence

2

Chatbot displacement of customer-facing interactions

3

AI coding assistants reducing developer demand

4

AI-driven cybersecurity threat detection replacing analysts

🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation

Stakeholder negotiation and requirements elicitation

Ethical AI oversight and bias auditing

Architecting novel systems requiring creative problem-solving

Mentoring junior developers and team leadership

📊 vs National Average

Median Wage$99K
+$52K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score53/100
+9

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure72/100
+34

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth-6.0%
-9.7%

National avg: 3.7%

🔄 Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers16$145K59%
Mathematicians24$122K73%
Computer Occupations26$106K84%