Rankings β†’ Will AI Replace…

Will AI Replace Computer Programmers?

53/100 β€” Elevated
SOC 15-1251

πŸ’‘ Computer Programmers have a composite risk score of 53/100 (Frey-Osborne probability: 48%, GenAI exposure: 72/100). With 109,870 workers in the US, this occupation faces moderate but manageable AI pressure. Full occupation profile β†’

🎯 The Verdict

Possible. Significant task automation is underway β€” workers should actively upskill.

With 109,870 workers and a median wage of $99K,computer programmers represent a significant portion of the US workforce. Their GenAI exposure index is 72%, meaning a majority of their core tasks overlap with current generative AI capabilities.

Risk Score

53/100

Employment

109,870

Median Wage

$99K

GenAI Exposure

72%

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1.

Automated testing and CI/CD pipeline intelligence

2.

Chatbot displacement of customer-facing interactions

3.

AI coding assistants reducing developer demand

4.

AI-driven cybersecurity threat detection replacing analysts

πŸ›‘οΈ Tasks AI Can't Easily Replace

βœ“

Stakeholder negotiation and requirements elicitation

βœ“

Ethical AI oversight and bias auditing

βœ“

Architecting novel systems requiring creative problem-solving

βœ“

Mentoring junior developers and team leadership

πŸ”„ Career Transition Paths

Related occupations with lower AI risk and high skills overlap:

Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers

59% skills overlap Β· $145K median wage

16/100

Mathematicians

73% skills overlap Β· $122K median wage

24/100

Computer Occupations

84% skills overlap Β· $106K median wage

26/100

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI completely replace computer programmers?

Possible. Significant task automation is underway β€” workers should actively upskill.

What is the AI risk score for computer programmers?

Computer Programmers have a composite AI automation risk score of 53 out of 100, classified as "Elevated".

How many computer programmers are there in the US?

There are approximately 109,870 computer programmers employed in the United States.

What do computer programmers earn?

The median annual wage for computer programmers is $99K.

What skills should computer programmers develop?

Focus on tasks AI can't easily replicate: stakeholder negotiation and requirements elicitation, ethical ai oversight and bias auditing, architecting novel systems requiring creative problem-solving, mentoring junior developers and team leadership. These human-centric skills will become more valuable as routine tasks are automated.