54
/100

SOC 19-3093

Historians

ElevatedFrey/Osborne: 44.0%

Risk Score

⚠️

54/100

Elevated

US Employment

👥

3,140

Total workers

Median Wage

💰

$74K

$39K – $129K

Projected Growth

📈

+2.2%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

🤖

86/100

High exposure

How we calculate these numbers →

💡 Historians face a risk score of 54/100 — 10 points above the national average of 44. With 86/100 GenAI exposure, this occupation faces significant pressure from AI tools despite strong projected growth. See our methodology →

💡 Workers in this field earn $74K ($28K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →

🔍 AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 54/100, Historians faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like ai-accelerated data analysis and pattern recognition are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 3,140 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in interpreting ambiguous results with domain expertise and designing novel experiments and research methodologies to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Historians?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1

AI-accelerated data analysis and pattern recognition

2

Large language model automation of analysis tasks

3

AI-powered research and literature review tools

4

Generative AI producing marketing and creative copy

🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation

Interpreting ambiguous results with domain expertise

Designing novel experiments and research methodologies

Ethical oversight of research involving human subjects

Collaborative scientific discourse and peer review

📊 vs National Average

Median Wage$74K
+$28K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score54/100
+10

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure86/100
+48

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth2.2%
-1.5%

National avg: 3.7%

🔄 Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
Social Scientists and Related Workers21$93K81%
Political Scientists25$139K73%
Occupational Health and Safety Specialists and Technicians26$79K71%