Rankings β†’ Will AI Replace…

Will AI Replace Historians?

54/100 β€” Elevated
SOC 19-3093

πŸ’‘ Historians have a composite risk score of 54/100 (Frey-Osborne probability: 44%, GenAI exposure: 86/100). With 3,140 workers in the US, this occupation faces moderate but manageable AI pressure. Full occupation profile β†’

🎯 The Verdict

Possible. Significant task automation is underway β€” workers should actively upskill.

With 3,140 workers and a median wage of $74K,historians represent a significant portion of the US workforce. Their GenAI exposure index is 86%, meaning a majority of their core tasks overlap with current generative AI capabilities.

Risk Score

54/100

Employment

3,140

Median Wage

$74K

GenAI Exposure

86%

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1.

AI-accelerated data analysis and pattern recognition

2.

Large language model automation of analysis tasks

3.

AI-powered research and literature review tools

4.

Generative AI producing marketing and creative copy

πŸ›‘οΈ Tasks AI Can't Easily Replace

βœ“

Interpreting ambiguous results with domain expertise

βœ“

Designing novel experiments and research methodologies

βœ“

Ethical oversight of research involving human subjects

βœ“

Collaborative scientific discourse and peer review

πŸ”„ Career Transition Paths

Related occupations with lower AI risk and high skills overlap:

Social Scientists and Related Workers

81% skills overlap Β· $93K median wage

21/100

Political Scientists

73% skills overlap Β· $139K median wage

25/100

Occupational Health and Safety Specialists and Technicians

71% skills overlap Β· $79K median wage

26/100

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI completely replace historians?

Possible. Significant task automation is underway β€” workers should actively upskill.

What is the AI risk score for historians?

Historians have a composite AI automation risk score of 54 out of 100, classified as "Elevated".

How many historians are there in the US?

There are approximately 3,140 historians employed in the United States.

What do historians earn?

The median annual wage for historians is $74K.

What skills should historians develop?

Focus on tasks AI can't easily replicate: interpreting ambiguous results with domain expertise, designing novel experiments and research methodologies, ethical oversight of research involving human subjects, collaborative scientific discourse and peer review. These human-centric skills will become more valuable as routine tasks are automated.