54
/100

SOC 51-9196

Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

ElevatedFrey/Osborne: 67.0%

Risk Score

⚠️

54/100

Elevated

US Employment

👥

96,950

Total workers

Median Wage

💰

$49K

$37K – $69K

Projected Growth

📈

-6.3%

2023-2033 (BLS)

GenAI Exposure

🤖

10/100

Low exposure

How we calculate these numbers →

💡 Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders face a risk score of 54/100 — 10 points above the national average of 44. With only 10/100 GenAI exposure, most core tasks remain resistant to current AI capabilities. See our methodology →

💡 Workers in this field earn $49K ($3K above the national median). The 3 recommended career transitions all maintain competitive wages while reducing automation exposure. Explore transition paths →

🔍 AI Impact Analysis

With a risk score of 54/100, Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders faces moderate automation pressure. While tasks like industrial robotics replacing manual assembly tasks are increasingly handled by AI, the role retains significant human elements. The 96,950 workers in this occupation should focus on strengthening skills in coordinating workflow across diverse production teams and quality judgment requiring tactile and visual inspection to stay ahead. The role will likely evolve rather than disappear.

Will AI Replace Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders?

Read our full analysis with verdict, risk factors, safe tasks, and career transition paths →

⚠️ Top Risk Factors

1

Industrial robotics replacing manual assembly tasks

2

Cobots handling repetitive material handling tasks

3

AI quality inspection via computer vision systems

4

Predictive maintenance reducing manual inspection roles

🛡️ Tasks Safe from Automation

Coordinating workflow across diverse production teams

Quality judgment requiring tactile and visual inspection

Setup and calibration of custom production runs

Handling non-standard materials and configurations

📊 vs National Average

Median Wage$49K
+$3K

National avg: $46K

Risk Score54/100
+10

National avg: 44/100

GenAI Exposure10/100
-28

National avg: 38/100

Projected Growth-6.3%
-10.0%

National avg: 3.7%

🔄 Career Transition Paths

OccupationRiskWageOverlap
Engineers20$106K53%
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers, Except Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors25$62K63%
Fabric and Apparel Patternmakers33$68K72%